# POEL Tracking Error: Up vs Down Days

> Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, POEL missed two times POET's daily return by 46.1 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

Data as of Nov 4, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.

As of Nov 4, 2026 . Rebuilt every trading night.

## POEL daily tracking

Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, POEL missed two times POET's daily return by 46.1 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

| Window | Read on | Average daily miss, bp | Signed average, bp | Tracking error | Up days, bp | Down days, bp | Up less down, bp | Confidence |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 20 of 22 days, from Oct 7, 2026 | NAV (stated) | 24.2 | −22.5 | 2.46% | −17.2 (8 days) | −26.0 (12 days) | +8.8 | Not enough days |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns | closing price | 69.8 | −23.2 | 13.38% | −24.5 (8 days) | −22.5 (14 days) | −2.0 | Not enough days |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 46.1 | −24.1 | 9.12% | −30.9 (29 days) | −18.3 (33 days) | −12.7 | Not significant (t −0.8) |
| 180 days to Nov 4, 2026, 124 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 57.5 | −29.0 | 11.31% | −43.1 (56 days) | −17.3 (67 days) | −25.7 | Not significant (t −2.0) |

### POEL's largest daily misses

The 5 days POEL strayed furthest from its daily target in the 180 days to Nov 4, 2026, each on its NAV where ETFIQ holds it, else its closing price.

| # | Day | Read on | POET moved | Target | POEL returned | Miss |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | May 20, 2026 | closing price | +13.08% | +26.17% | +23.73% | −2.44 pts |
| 2 | May 14, 2026 | closing price | +43.15% | +86.29% | +84.18% | −2.11 pts |
| 3 | Jun 18, 2026 | closing price | +1.67% | +3.35% | +1.28% | −2.07 pts |
| 4 | Jul 6, 2026 | closing price | +2.17% | +4.34% | +2.46% | −1.88 pts |
| 5 | Jun 17, 2026 | closing price | −5.50% | −10.99% | −9.30% | +1.70 pts |

### Method

The daily miss is POEL's return each day less two times POET's return that day. A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Each window is read twice where ETFIQ holds both NAVs: on NAVs, and on closing prices. It is stated on the closing price because NAVs for 20 of the 63 sessions. POEL ranks 418 of 494 2x leveraged ETFs on its 90-day average daily miss. Up days and down days split the miss by whether POET rose or fell; Significant means the gap is at least two standard errors from zero. The average miss carries its sign: a negative one is what the fund kept below its target each day, its fees and financing among it. Not every fund here has traded for a year, and a number over eight months does not order against one over twelve. This page lists each fund with its window and dates instead of ranking them. It becomes a ranking on the night four of them share a full year. Every window ETFIQ can measure for POEL is listed.

### Where to next

### Sources

Links are sources, not endorsements.

A ranking is not a recommendation or an opinion. ETFIQ is an independent publisher, not an adviser. Standards and sources

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Source: ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.
Cite: ETFIQ, POEL daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/poel/tracking/
Licence: https://etfiq.com/license/ Data ETFIQ computes is free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.
HTML: https://etfiq.com/funds/poel/tracking/