# NVDL Tracking Error: Up vs Down Days

> Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, NVDL missed two times NVDA's daily return by 10.8 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

Data as of Nov 4, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.

As of Nov 4, 2026 . Rebuilt every trading night.

## NVDL daily tracking

Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, NVDL missed two times NVDA's daily return by 10.8 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

| Window | Read on | Average daily miss, bp | Signed average, bp | Tracking error | Up days, bp | Down days, bp | Up less down, bp | Confidence |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 11 of 22 days, from Oct 16, 2026 | NAV | 4.2 | −4.2 | 0.29% | −3.3 (4 days) | −4.7 (7 days) | +1.5 | Not enough days |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 11.9 | −4.5 | 2.34% | −13.9 (7 days) | −0.1 (15 days) | −13.8 | Not enough days |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026: 12 of 63 days, from Sep 11, 2026 | NAV | 4.4 | −4.4 | 0.31% | −3.3 (4 days) | −5.0 (8 days) | +1.8 | Not enough days |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 10.8 | −4.0 | 2.41% | −8.8 (28 days) | −0.1 (35 days) | −8.6 | Significant (t −2.3) |
| 180 days to Nov 4, 2026, 124 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 12.8 | −4.3 | 2.92% | −7.3 (58 days) | −1.7 (66 days) | −5.6 | Not significant (t −1.7) |
| 1 year to Nov 4, 2026, 251 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 11.8 | −4.4 | 2.54% | −7.2 (125 days) | −1.6 (126 days) | −5.6 | Significant (t −2.8) |

### NVDL's largest daily misses

The 5 days NVDL strayed furthest from its daily target in the 1 year to Nov 4, 2026, each on its NAV where ETFIQ holds it, else its closing price.

| # | Day | Read on | NVDA moved | Target | NVDL returned | Miss |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | Aug 27, 2026 | closing price | +8.74% | +17.48% | +16.76% | −0.72 pts |
| 2 | Jun 26, 2026 | closing price | −1.64% | −3.28% | −3.96% | −0.68 pts |
| 3 | Jun 18, 2026 | closing price | +2.95% | +5.90% | +5.24% | −0.66 pts |
| 4 | Mar 23, 2026 | closing price | +1.70% | +3.40% | +2.89% | −0.52 pts |
| 5 | Jun 29, 2026 | closing price | +1.27% | +2.53% | +3.05% | +0.51 pts |

### Method

The daily miss is NVDL's return each day less two times NVDA's return that day. A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Each window is read twice where ETFIQ holds both NAVs: on NAVs, and on closing prices. It is stated on the closing price because NAVs for 12 of the 63 sessions. NVDL ranks 37 of 494 2x leveraged ETFs on its 90-day average daily miss. Up days and down days split the miss by whether NVDA rose or fell; Significant means the gap is at least two standard errors from zero. The average miss carries its sign: a negative one is what the fund kept below its target each day, its fees and financing among it. Not every fund here has traded for a year, and a number over eight months does not order against one over twelve. This page lists each fund with its window and dates instead of ranking them. It becomes a ranking on the night four of them share a full year. Every window ETFIQ can measure for NVDL is listed.

### Where to next

### Sources

Links are sources, not endorsements.

A ranking is not a recommendation or an opinion. ETFIQ is an independent publisher, not an adviser. Standards and sources

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Source: ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.
Cite: ETFIQ, NVDL daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/nvdl/tracking/
Licence: https://etfiq.com/license/ Data ETFIQ computes is free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.
HTML: https://etfiq.com/funds/nvdl/tracking/