# NFX Tracking Error: Up vs Down Days

> Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, NFX missed two times NFLX's daily return by 17.5 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

Data as of Nov 4, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.

As of Nov 4, 2026 . Rebuilt every trading night.

## NFX daily tracking

Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, NFX missed two times NFLX's daily return by 17.5 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

| Window | Read on | Average daily miss, bp | Signed average, bp | Tracking error | Up days, bp | Down days, bp | Up less down, bp | Confidence |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 20 of 22 days, from Oct 7, 2026 | NAV (stated) | 4.8 | −4.4 | 0.47% | −5.5 (10 days) | −3.4 (10 days) | −2.0 | Not significant (t −1.6) |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns | closing price | 15.2 | −2.5 | 3.13% | −3.3 (12 days) | −1.6 (10 days) | −1.7 | Not significant (t −0.2) |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 17.5 | −3.5 | 3.55% | −4.5 (27 days) | −2.7 (36 days) | −1.7 | Not significant (t −0.3) |

### NFX's largest daily misses

The 5 days NFX strayed furthest from its daily target in the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, each on its NAV where ETFIQ holds it, else its closing price.

| # | Day | Read on | NFLX moved | Target | NFX returned | Miss |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | Sep 10, 2026 | closing price | −0.03% | −0.05% | −0.61% | −0.56 pts |
| 2 | Aug 19, 2026 | closing price | +3.15% | +6.30% | +5.77% | −0.53 pts |
| 3 | Aug 10, 2026 | closing price | +2.90% | +5.80% | +5.28% | −0.52 pts |
| 4 | Aug 28, 2026 | closing price | +2.35% | +4.71% | +4.25% | −0.46 pts |
| 5 | Sep 11, 2026 | closing price | +1.83% | +3.66% | +4.08% | +0.42 pts |

### Method

The daily miss is NFX's return each day less two times NFLX's return that day. A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Each window is read twice where ETFIQ holds both NAVs: on NAVs, and on closing prices. It is stated on the closing price because NAVs for 20 of the 63 sessions. NFX ranks 126 of 494 2x leveraged ETFs on its 90-day average daily miss. Up days and down days split the miss by whether NFLX rose or fell; Significant means the gap is at least two standard errors from zero. The average miss carries its sign: a negative one is what the fund kept below its target each day, its fees and financing among it. Not every fund here has traded for a year, and a number over eight months does not order against one over twelve. This page lists each fund with its window and dates instead of ranking them. It becomes a ranking on the night four of them share a full year. Every window ETFIQ can measure for NFX is listed.

### Where to next

### Sources

Links are sources, not endorsements.

A ranking is not a recommendation or an opinion. ETFIQ is an independent publisher, not an adviser. Standards and sources

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Source: ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.
Cite: ETFIQ, NFX daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/nfx/tracking/
Licence: https://etfiq.com/license/ Data ETFIQ computes is free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.
HTML: https://etfiq.com/funds/nfx/tracking/
