# HODU Tracking Error: Up vs Down Days

> Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, HODU missed two times HOOD's daily return by 18.1 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

Data as of Nov 4, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.

As of Nov 4, 2026 . Rebuilt every trading night.

## HODU daily tracking

Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, HODU missed two times HOOD's daily return by 18.1 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

| Window | Read on | Average daily miss, bp | Signed average, bp | Tracking error | Up days, bp | Down days, bp | Up less down, bp | Confidence |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 17 of 22 days, from Oct 7, 2026 | NAV | 5.6 | −5.3 | 0.67% | −5.4 (6 days) | −5.2 (11 days) | −0.2 | Not enough days |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 19.9 | −5.4 | 3.68% | −5.9 (10 days) | −4.9 (12 days) | −0.9 | Not significant (t −0.1) |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 18.1 | −5.7 | 3.50% | −6.9 (29 days) | −4.7 (34 days) | −2.2 | Not significant (t −0.4) |
| 180 days to Nov 4, 2026, 124 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 16.6 | −5.5 | 3.32% | −4.8 (59 days) | −6.1 (65 days) | +1.4 | Not significant (t 0.4) |

### HODU's largest daily misses

The 5 days HODU strayed furthest from its daily target in the 180 days to Nov 4, 2026, each on its NAV where ETFIQ holds it, else its closing price.

| # | Day | Read on | HOOD moved | Target | HODU returned | Miss |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | Jul 29, 2026 | closing price | −3.15% | −6.30% | −7.01% | −0.71 pts |
| 2 | Aug 25, 2026 | closing price | +8.17% | +16.35% | +15.73% | −0.62 pts |
| 3 | Jul 14, 2026 | closing price | +3.27% | +6.54% | +6.08% | −0.46 pts |
| 4 | Sep 8, 2026 | closing price | −3.91% | −7.81% | −7.40% | +0.42 pts |
| 5 | Jun 16, 2026 | closing price | −1.44% | −2.87% | −3.28% | −0.41 pts |

### Method

The daily miss is HODU's return each day less two times HOOD's return that day. A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Each window is read twice where ETFIQ holds both NAVs: on NAVs, and on closing prices. It is stated on the closing price because NAVs for 17 of the 63 sessions. HODU ranks 138 of 494 2x leveraged ETFs on its 90-day average daily miss. Up days and down days split the miss by whether HOOD rose or fell; Significant means the gap is at least two standard errors from zero. The average miss carries its sign: a negative one is what the fund kept below its target each day, its fees and financing among it. Not every fund here has traded for a year, and a number over eight months does not order against one over twelve. This page lists each fund with its window and dates instead of ranking them. It becomes a ranking on the night four of them share a full year. Every window ETFIQ can measure for HODU is listed.

### Where to next

### Sources

Links are sources, not endorsements.

A ranking is not a recommendation or an opinion. ETFIQ is an independent publisher, not an adviser. Standards and sources

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Source: ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.
Cite: ETFIQ, HODU daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/hodu/tracking/
Licence: https://etfiq.com/license/ Data ETFIQ computes is free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.
HTML: https://etfiq.com/funds/hodu/tracking/