# FUTG Tracking Error: Up vs Down Days

> Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, FUTG missed two times FUTU's daily return by 23.7 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

Data as of Nov 4, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.

As of Nov 4, 2026 . Rebuilt every trading night.

## FUTG daily tracking

Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, FUTG missed two times FUTU's daily return by 23.7 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

| Window | Read on | Average daily miss, bp | Signed average, bp | Tracking error | Up days, bp | Down days, bp | Up less down, bp | Confidence |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 20 of 22 days, from Oct 7, 2026 | NAV (stated) | 13.7 | −8.8 | 2.40% | −3.6 (9 days) | −13.1 (11 days) | +9.5 | Not enough days |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns | closing price | 22.0 | −10.7 | 4.24% | −3.8 (10 days) | −16.4 (12 days) | +12.6 | Not significant (t 1.1) |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026: 22 of 63 days, from Sep 10, 2026 | NAV | 13.4 | −9.0 | 2.30% | −3.6 (9 days) | −12.7 (13 days) | +9.1 | Not enough days |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 23.7 | −8.7 | 4.58% | −2.0 (28 days) | −15.2 (34 days) | +13.2 | Not significant (t 1.8) |
| 180 days to Nov 4, 2026, 124 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 29.3 | −6.6 | 7.53% | +4.5 (59 days) | −17.2 (63 days) | +21.7 | Significant (t 2.5) |
| 1 year to Nov 4, 2026, 251 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 25.1 | −6.3 | 6.02% | −1.2 (119 days) | −11.0 (130 days) | +9.8 | Significant (t 2.0) |

### FUTG's largest daily misses

The 5 days FUTG strayed furthest from its daily target in the 1 year to Nov 4, 2026, each on its NAV where ETFIQ holds it, else its closing price.

| # | Day | Read on | FUTU moved | Target | FUTG returned | Miss |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | May 26, 2026 | closing price | +19.99% | +39.97% | +43.78% | +3.81 pts |
| 2 | May 22, 2026 | closing price | −27.53% | −55.06% | −56.37% | −1.31 pts |
| 3 | Sep 25, 2026 | closing price | +2.38% | +4.76% | +3.97% | −0.79 pts |
| 4 | Apr 9, 2026 | closing price | −1.19% | −2.38% | −3.06% | −0.68 pts |
| 5 | Jul 24, 2026 | closing price | +0.40% | +0.81% | +0.14% | −0.67 pts |

### Method

The daily miss is FUTG's return each day less two times FUTU's return that day. A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Each window is read twice where ETFIQ holds both NAVs: on NAVs, and on closing prices. It is stated on the closing price because NAVs for 22 of the 63 sessions. FUTG ranks 216 of 494 2x leveraged ETFs on its 90-day average daily miss. Up days and down days split the miss by whether FUTU rose or fell; Significant means the gap is at least two standard errors from zero. The average miss carries its sign: a negative one is what the fund kept below its target each day, its fees and financing among it. Not every fund here has traded for a year, and a number over eight months does not order against one over twelve. This page lists each fund with its window and dates instead of ranking them. It becomes a ranking on the night four of them share a full year. Every window ETFIQ can measure for FUTG is listed.

### Where to next

### Sources

Links are sources, not endorsements.

A ranking is not a recommendation or an opinion. ETFIQ is an independent publisher, not an adviser. Standards and sources

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Source: ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.
Cite: ETFIQ, FUTG daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/futg/tracking/
Licence: https://etfiq.com/license/ Data ETFIQ computes is free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.
HTML: https://etfiq.com/funds/futg/tracking/