# EVMU Tracking Error: Up vs Down Days

> Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, EVMU missed two times Ether's daily return by 20.3 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

Data as of Nov 4, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.

As of Nov 4, 2026 . Rebuilt every trading night.

## EVMU daily tracking

Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, EVMU missed two times Ether's daily return by 20.3 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

| Window | Read on | Average daily miss, bp | Signed average, bp | Tracking error | Up days, bp | Down days, bp | Up less down, bp | Confidence |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 16 of 22 days, from Oct 7, 2026 | NAV | 13.8 | −9.6 | 2.82% | −2.4 (6 days) | −13.9 (10 days) | +11.5 | Not enough days |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 20.6 | −5.5 | 3.86% | +5.1 (11 days) | −16.2 (11 days) | +21.4 | Significant (t 2.2) |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 20.3 | −5.8 | 4.15% | +1.7 (34 days) | −14.7 (29 days) | +16.4 | Significant (t 2.6) |

### EVMU's largest daily misses

The 5 days EVMU strayed furthest from its daily target in the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, each on its NAV where ETFIQ holds it, else its closing price.

| # | Day | Read on | Ether moved | Target | EVMU returned | Miss |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | Aug 28, 2026 | closing price | −2.53% | −5.06% | −5.91% | −0.85 pts |
| 2 | Sep 8, 2026 | closing price | +1.06% | +2.12% | +1.39% | −0.73 pts |
| 3 | Sep 22, 2026 | closing price | −0.38% | −0.77% | −1.45% | −0.68 pts |
| 4 | Oct 30, 2026 | NAV | −4.23% | −8.46% | −9.00% | −0.54 pts |
| 5 | Sep 15, 2026 | closing price | −4.90% | −9.80% | −10.24% | −0.45 pts |

### Method

The daily miss is EVMU's return each day less two times Ether's return that day. A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Each window is read twice where ETFIQ holds both NAVs: on NAVs, and on closing prices. It is stated on the closing price because NAVs for 16 of the 63 sessions. EVMU ranks 176 of 494 2x leveraged ETFs on its 90-day average daily miss. Up days and down days split the miss by whether Ether rose or fell; Significant means the gap is at least two standard errors from zero. The average miss carries its sign: a negative one is what the fund kept below its target each day, its fees and financing among it. 1 NAV day was held out, where the NAV and the closing price disagreed about the day: Nov 2, 2026. Not every fund here has traded for a year, and a number over eight months does not order against one over twelve. This page lists each fund with its window and dates instead of ranking them. It becomes a ranking on the night four of them share a full year. Every window ETFIQ can measure for EVMU is listed.

### Where to next

### Sources

Links are sources, not endorsements.

A ranking is not a recommendation or an opinion. ETFIQ is an independent publisher, not an adviser. Standards and sources

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Source: ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.
Cite: ETFIQ, EVMU daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/evmu/tracking/
Licence: https://etfiq.com/license/ Data ETFIQ computes is free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.
HTML: https://etfiq.com/funds/evmu/tracking/