# CIFU Tracking Error: Up vs Down Days

> Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, CIFU missed two times CIFR's daily return by 50.0 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

Data as of Nov 4, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.

As of Nov 4, 2026 . Rebuilt every trading night.

## CIFU daily tracking

Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, CIFU missed two times CIFR's daily return by 50.0 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

| Window | Read on | Average daily miss, bp | Signed average, bp | Tracking error | Up days, bp | Down days, bp | Up less down, bp | Confidence |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 13 of 22 days, from Oct 16, 2026 | NAV | 30.7 | −8.7 | 5.35% | +8.3 (4 days) | −16.3 (9 days) | +24.6 | Not enough days |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 50.8 | −15.9 | 9.91% | −16.4 (7 days) | −15.7 (15 days) | −0.7 | Not enough days |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 50.0 | −12.3 | 9.71% | −23.6 (26 days) | −4.3 (37 days) | −19.3 | Not significant (t −1.2) |
| 180 days to Nov 4, 2026, 124 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 54.4 | −11.1 | 10.81% | −21.6 (52 days) | −0.4 (71 days) | −21.2 | Not significant (t −1.7) |

### CIFU's largest daily misses

The 5 days CIFU strayed furthest from its daily target in the 180 days to Nov 4, 2026, each on its NAV where ETFIQ holds it, else its closing price.

| # | Day | Read on | CIFR moved | Target | CIFU returned | Miss |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | Jul 15, 2026 | closing price | 0.00% | 0.00% | −2.29% | −2.29 pts |
| 2 | Jul 6, 2026 | closing price | +8.43% | +16.87% | +14.93% | −1.94 pts |
| 3 | Sep 18, 2026 | closing price | +8.26% | +16.53% | +14.96% | −1.57 pts |
| 4 | Aug 14, 2026 | closing price | +7.43% | +14.86% | +13.37% | −1.49 pts |
| 5 | Jul 14, 2026 | closing price | −1.07% | −2.14% | −0.66% | +1.48 pts |

### Method

The daily miss is CIFU's return each day less two times CIFR's return that day. A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Each window is read twice where ETFIQ holds both NAVs: on NAVs, and on closing prices. It is stated on the closing price because NAVs for 13 of the 63 sessions. CIFU ranks 433 of 494 2x leveraged ETFs on its 90-day average daily miss. Up days and down days split the miss by whether CIFR rose or fell; Significant means the gap is at least two standard errors from zero. The average miss carries its sign: a negative one is what the fund kept below its target each day, its fees and financing among it. Not every fund here has traded for a year, and a number over eight months does not order against one over twelve. This page lists each fund with its window and dates instead of ranking them. It becomes a ranking on the night four of them share a full year. Every window ETFIQ can measure for CIFU is listed.

### Where to next

### Sources

Links are sources, not endorsements.

A ranking is not a recommendation or an opinion. ETFIQ is an independent publisher, not an adviser. Standards and sources

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Source: ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.
Cite: ETFIQ, CIFU daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/cifu/tracking/
Licence: https://etfiq.com/license/ Data ETFIQ computes is free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.
HTML: https://etfiq.com/funds/cifu/tracking/