# BAIG Tracking Error: Up vs Down Days

> Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, BAIG missed two times BBAI's daily return by 66.8 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

Data as of Nov 4, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.

As of Nov 4, 2026 . Rebuilt every trading night.

## BAIG daily tracking

Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, BAIG missed two times BBAI's daily return by 66.8 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

| Window | Read on | Average daily miss, bp | Signed average, bp | Tracking error | Up days, bp | Down days, bp | Up less down, bp | Confidence |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 20 of 22 days, from Oct 7, 2026 | NAV (stated) | 11.0 | −9.7 | 1.60% | −7.1 (8 days) | −11.4 (12 days) | +4.3 | Not enough days |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns | closing price | 75.0 | −12.5 | 15.01% | +16.0 (9 days) | −32.2 (13 days) | +48.2 | Not enough days |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026: 22 of 63 days, from Sep 10, 2026 | NAV | 11.2 | −10.0 | 1.64% | −9.1 (9 days) | −10.6 (13 days) | +1.5 | Not enough days |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 66.8 | −8.5 | 13.41% | −14.5 (23 days) | −5.5 (36 days) | −9.0 | Not significant (t −0.4) |
| 180 days to Nov 4, 2026, 124 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 74.2 | −8.8 | 14.62% | −5.8 (49 days) | −9.5 (70 days) | +3.7 | Not significant (t 0.2) |
| 1 year to Nov 4, 2026, 251 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 71.6 | −9.9 | 14.31% | −8.4 (106 days) | −10.3 (140 days) | +1.9 | Not significant (t 0.2) |

### BAIG's largest daily misses

The 5 days BAIG strayed furthest from its daily target in the 1 year to Nov 4, 2026, each on its NAV where ETFIQ holds it, else its closing price.

| # | Day | Read on | BBAI moved | Target | BAIG returned | Miss |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | Feb 6, 2026 | closing price | +15.69% | +31.37% | +34.09% | +2.72 pts |
| 2 | Mar 9, 2026 | closing price | −1.18% | −2.35% | 0.00% | +2.35 pts |
| 3 | Aug 5, 2026 | closing price | −3.81% | −7.62% | −9.72% | −2.10 pts |
| 4 | Oct 5, 2026 | closing price | −1.51% | −3.02% | −1.02% | +2.00 pts |
| 5 | Mar 25, 2026 | closing price | +0.56% | +1.13% | −0.85% | −1.98 pts |

### Method

The daily miss is BAIG's return each day less two times BBAI's return that day. A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Each window is read twice where ETFIQ holds both NAVs: on NAVs, and on closing prices. It is stated on the closing price because NAVs for 22 of the 63 sessions. BAIG ranks 471 of 494 2x leveraged ETFs on its 90-day average daily miss. Up days and down days split the miss by whether BBAI rose or fell; Significant means the gap is at least two standard errors from zero. The average miss carries its sign: a negative one is what the fund kept below its target each day, its fees and financing among it. Not every fund here has traded for a year, and a number over eight months does not order against one over twelve. This page lists each fund with its window and dates instead of ranking them. It becomes a ranking on the night four of them share a full year. Every window ETFIQ can measure for BAIG is listed.

### Where to next

### Sources

Links are sources, not endorsements.

A ranking is not a recommendation or an opinion. ETFIQ is an independent publisher, not an adviser. Standards and sources

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Source: ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.
Cite: ETFIQ, BAIG daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/baig/tracking/
Licence: https://etfiq.com/license/ Data ETFIQ computes is free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.
HTML: https://etfiq.com/funds/baig/tracking/