# AAOG Tracking Error: Up vs Down Days

> Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, AAOG missed two times AAOI's daily return by 38.5 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

Data as of Nov 4, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.

As of Nov 4, 2026 . Rebuilt every trading night.

## AAOG daily tracking

Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, AAOG missed two times AAOI's daily return by 38.5 basis points a day on average, on its closing price.

| Window | Read on | Average daily miss, bp | Signed average, bp | Tracking error | Up days, bp | Down days, bp | Up less down, bp | Confidence |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 19 of 22 days, from Oct 7, 2026 | NAV (stated) | 31.1 | −15.2 | 6.17% | −43.2 (6 days) | −2.3 (13 days) | −40.9 | Not enough days |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns | closing price | 35.4 | −9.1 | 6.86% | −0.3 (8 days) | −14.1 (14 days) | +13.8 | Not enough days |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026: 20 of 63 days, from Sep 11, 2026 | NAV | 30.3 | −13.7 | 6.09% | −34.9 (7 days) | −2.3 (13 days) | −32.6 | Not enough days |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns | closing price (stated) | 38.5 | −8.1 | 7.57% | −17.6 (29 days) | −0.1 (34 days) | −17.6 | Not significant (t −1.4) |

### AAOG's largest daily misses

The 5 days AAOG strayed furthest from its daily target in the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, each on its NAV where ETFIQ holds it, else its closing price.

| # | Day | Read on | AAOI moved | Target | AAOG returned | Miss |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | Aug 7, 2026 | closing price | +9.19% | +18.37% | +19.63% | +1.26 pts |
| 2 | Oct 1, 2026 | closing price | +8.12% | +16.24% | +15.12% | −1.12 pts |
| 3 | Sep 8, 2026 | closing price | +5.70% | +11.41% | +10.33% | −1.08 pts |
| 4 | Sep 30, 2026 | closing price | −1.40% | −2.80% | −1.91% | +0.89 pts |
| 5 | Oct 19, 2026 | NAV | +3.48% | +6.96% | +6.08% | −0.88 pts |

### Method

The daily miss is AAOG's return each day less two times AAOI's return that day. A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Each window is read twice where ETFIQ holds both NAVs: on NAVs, and on closing prices. It is stated on the closing price because NAVs for 20 of the 63 sessions. AAOG ranks 356 of 494 2x leveraged ETFs on its 90-day average daily miss. Up days and down days split the miss by whether AAOI rose or fell; Significant means the gap is at least two standard errors from zero. The average miss carries its sign: a negative one is what the fund kept below its target each day, its fees and financing among it. 1 NAV day was held out, where the NAV and the closing price disagreed about the day: Nov 3, 2026. Not every fund here has traded for a year, and a number over eight months does not order against one over twelve. This page lists each fund with its window and dates instead of ranking them. It becomes a ranking on the night four of them share a full year. Every window ETFIQ can measure for AAOG is listed.

### Where to next

### Sources

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A ranking is not a recommendation or an opinion. ETFIQ is an independent publisher, not an adviser. Standards and sources

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Source: ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.
Cite: ETFIQ, AAOG daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/aaog/tracking/
Licence: https://etfiq.com/license/ Data ETFIQ computes is free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.
HTML: https://etfiq.com/funds/aaog/tracking/